Avocado Intelligence

The avocado business is volatile and predicting the market is key to maximizing profits. It is not unusual for the price to change by 25% in just 7 days! The information here can help in predicting price swings.

Tables

Graphs

Tables

Avis Actual & Estimated Volume Mexico Avocado Harvest Program AVIS - Avocado Market Volume USDA Prices FOB Texas Crossing AMS - Stores promoting Avocados

Avis Actual & Estimated Volume

Avis is a part of the Hass Avocado Board. Their mission is to collect statistics from Mexican shippers and importers which are displayed in multiple graph presentations. This one shows estimated vs actual supply and inventory.

* All future dates are projections

Week	Status	California	Chile	México	Perú	Colombia	Rep. Dominicana	Total volume
01/09/2022	Actual	93,645	0	54,732,452	0	340,000	485,000	55,651,097
01/16/2022	Actual	561,610	100,000	56,035,143	0	100,000	176,000	56,972,754
01/23/2022	Actual	2,995,383	0	57,869,248	0	95,663	N/A	60,960,294
01/30/2022	Actual	5,184,868	440,000	53,858,286	0	191,326	N/A	59,674,481
02/06/2022	Actual	5,577,043	500,000	45,647,496	0	526,146	N/A	52,250,685
02/13/2022	Actual	4,051,727	440,000	24,206,759	0	1,147,954	N/A	29,846,440
02/20/2022	Actual	7,567,540	490,000	16,095,286	0	1,004,460	N/A	25,157,287
02/27/2022	Actual	8,065,752	1,310,000	48,178,614	0	717,472	N/A	58,271,839
03/06/2022	Actual	7,615,250	1,270,000	54,699,401	0	717,472	N/A	64,302,124
03/13/2022	Actual	8,002,957	940,000	47,793,049	0	239,157	N/A	56,975,164
03/20/2022	Actual	7,576,490	320,000	39,761,617	0	956,629	N/A	48,614,736
03/27/2022	Actual	6,952,970	660,000	32,010,186	142,223	334,820	N/A	40,100,200
04/03/2022	Actual	5,472,317	750,000	39,730,490	221,434	143,494	N/A	46,317,735
04/10/2022	Actual	8,757,166	180,000	42,523,988	189,630	430,483	N/A	52,081,268
04/17/2022	Actual	11,074,596	90,000	21,667,046	134,322	239,157	N/A	33,205,122
04/24/2022	Actual	13,582,443	100,000	48,592,013	379,261	95,663	N/A	62,749,382
05/01/2022	Actual	15,179,931	0	42,261,450	238,504	239,157	N/A	57,919,043
05/08/2022	Actual	14,357,970	0	29,731,474	573,888	1,004,460	N/A	45,667,793
05/15/2022	Actual	12,408,200	0	27,550,590	1,943,144	478,314	N/A	42,380,249
05/22/2022	Actual	12,076,707	0	30,561,240	3,383,691	717,471	N/A	46,739,111
05/29/2022	Actual	13,654,702	0	29,521,254	6,206,715	191,325	N/A	49,573,999
06/05/2022	Actual	9,778,625	0	23,460,062	8,772,387	717,471	N/A	42,728,546
06/12/2022	Actual	11,579,045	0	17,688,410	9,577,280	1,817,594	N/A	40,662,330
06/19/2022	Actual	11,341,954	0	14,697,048	13,182,414	2,152,414	N/A	41,373,831
06/26/2022	Actual	10,692,633	0	19,316,087	15,430,635	1,961,088	N/A	47,400,444
07/03/2022	Actual	11,415,143	0	33,109,370	16,529,394	3,061,211	N/A	64,115,120
07/10/2022	Actual	8,920,795	0	24,972,014	20,833,326	3,443,863	N/A	58,169,999
07/17/2022	Actual	9,133,156	0	31,718,757	21,058,054	2,487,234	N/A	64,397,203
07/24/2022	Actual	6,484,828	0	22,152,392	17,910,474	2,152,414	N/A	48,700,110
07/31/2022	Actual	4,243,337	0	26,763,669	19,884,014	1,530,605	N/A	52,421,628
08/07/2022	Actual	2,357,179	0	33,205,164	22,494,504	2,726,391	N/A	60,783,239
08/14/2022	Actual	2,234,021	0	35,789,688	20,813,165	95,662	N/A	58,932,538
08/21/2022	Actual	2,082,533	0	34,942,839	18,238,454	526,145	N/A	55,789,973
08/28/2022	Actual	1,760,630	0	38,907,808	16,025,209	143,494	N/A	56,837,142
09/04/2022	Actual	1,365,900	0	42,826,045	12,512,112	382,651	N/A	57,086,709
09/11/2022	Actual	484,625	0	45,495,387	8,391,166	143,494	N/A	54,514,673
09/18/2022	Actual	455,125	0	38,719,690	8,860,028	0	N/A	48,034,844
09/25/2022	Actual	345,600	0	46,780,257	5,310,138	0	N/A	52,435,996
10/02/2022	Actual	345,600	380,661	50,837,675	4,082,752	105,450	N/A	55,752,139
10/09/2022	Actual	14,400	472,721	53,786,126	2,275,096	47,831	N/A	56,596,176
10/16/2022	Actual	0	573,041	45,105,314	900,746	47,831	N/A	46,626,933
10/23/2022	Actual	0	751,152	49,000,406	94,815	95,663	40,000	49,982,037
10/30/2022	Actual	0	656,523	53,802,016	0	95,663	130,000	54,684,203
11/06/2022	Actual	0	706,422	52,094,717	0	47,831	180,000	53,028,972
11/13/2022	Actual	0	701,140	59,381,622	0	0	170,000	60,252,763
11/20/2022	Actual	0	745,916	43,821,748	0	150,000	220,000	44,937,665
11/27/2022	Actual	0	701,308	49,660,961	0	95,662	N/A	37,840,418
12/04/2022	Projection	0	790,192	54,210,691	0	95,662	N/A	55,096,546
12/11/2022	Projection	0	506,842	51,691,109	0	95,662	N/A	52,293,615
12/18/2022	Projection	0	0	53,300,660	0	191,325	N/A	53,491,986
12/25/2022	Projection	0	0	45,308,127	0	239,157	N/A	45,547,285
01/01/2023	Projection	0	0	55,616,843	0	239,157	N/A	55,856,001

(Scroll table to see more data)

Mexico Avocado Harvest Program

This table comes from Sicoa (Sistema Integral de Cosecha de Aguacate) and shows which orchards are available for harvest. There can be more than one cut in any orchard. The information is made available at 6 PM the day before. With this we can see the rate of harvest. When fruit is plentiful, each cut will be about 5 tons. This table shows trends before the fruit is exported and is useful predictor for the US market.

Date	Cortes	Huertas	Inventory (Tons)
12/08/2022	995	838	24,008
12/07/2022	1,089	876	25,494
	976	774	26,230
12/05/2022	778	614	26,670
12/02/2022	512	443	25,331
12/01/2022	836	680	25,513
11/30/2022	926	737	25,631
11/28/2022	649	514	21,003
11/25/2022	723	604	26,141
11/18/2022	286	232	28,209
11/17/2022	564	440	27,283
11/14/2022	701	559	28,950
11/11/2022	712	583	26,691
11/10/2022	879	727	25,460
11/09/2022	1,090	882	19,162
11/08/2022	1,162	928	26,486
11/07/2022	1,062	862	25,239
11/04/2022	n/d	n/d	n/d
11/03/2022	1,129	896	26,183
11/02/2022	42	18	27,672
11/01/2022	927	739	27,762
10/31/2022	967	776	24,945
10/28/2022	n/d	n/d	n/d
10/27/2022	1,176	962	23,912
10/26/2022	1,155	958	25,040
10/25/2022	1,064	868	24,263
10/24/2022	807	650	24,552
10/21/2022	836	684	23,913
10/20/2022	849	695	24,501
10/19/2022	926	754	28,698
10/18/2022	785	615	28,336
10/17/2022	618	476	28,698
10/14/2022	605	478	28,869
10/13/2022	650	539	28,586
10/12/2022	737	610	29,674
10/11/2022	819	670	30,034
10/10/2022	755	592	29,563
10/07/2022	758	623	27,863
10/06/2022	1,036	830	27,466
10/05/2022	1,190	972	28,579
10/04/2022	1,179	949	29,104
10/03/2022	961	760	28,032
09/30/2022	767	671	27,662
09/29/2022	n/d	n/d	n/d
09/28/2022	852	654	27,474
09/27/2022	836	652	28,007
09/26/2022	709	565	27,387
09/23/2022	n/d	n/d	n/d
09/22/2022	n/d	n/d	n/d
09/21/2022	788	632	28407
09/20/2022	748	594	28407
09/19/2022	717	569	30,941

(Scroll table to see more data)

AVIS - Avocado Market Volume

Information from the Hass Avocado Board, which compiles info of shipments to the USA from all supplying countries.

*Daily Shipments for Mondays include Friday and Saturday numbers from the previous week.

Date	*Daily Shipment	Past 7 Day Shipment	Total Inventory
12/08/2022	7,347,325	46,291,575	53,254,133
12/07/2022	9,069,462	46,564,548	52,929,773
12/06/2022	8,110,203	44,440,777	56,205,291
12/05/2022	12,938,959	44,099,745	57,828,284
12/02/2022	8,032,726	46,195,092	55,847,039
12/01/2022	7,620,298	44,702,992	56,248,565
11/30/2022	6,945,691	37,082,694	56,508,247
11/29/2022	8,300,071	36,688,630	59,369,110
11/28/2022	15,034,307	36,513,464	58,274,834
11/23/2022	6,729,127	43,451,752	59,106,850
11/22/2022	8,124,905	43,832,682	61,508,545
11/21/2022	14,652,191	44,865,753	61,305,963
11/18/2022	6,914,923	62,191,502	44,584,136
11/17/2022	7,030,606	60,149,111	43,718,383
11/16/2022	7,110,058	43,286,900	59,711,711
11/15/2022	9,157,975	42,762,861	63,003,276
11/14/2022	14,106,025	41,593,629	63,823,836
11/11/2022	6,049,170	41,447,422	60,952,786
11/10/2022	6,599,123	43,354,051	58,844,590
11/09/2022	6,586,019	42,247,077	56,130,226
11/08/2022	8,253,293	44,015,703	57,454,859
11/07/2022	13,959,817	44,870,725	58,392,209
11/04/2022	7,901,824	46,389,146	55,642,801
11/03/2022	5,486,149	45,095,053	57,711,677
11/02/2022	8,354,645	46,397,353	57,725,455
11/01/2022	8,568,240	43,842,389	61,206,042
10/31/2022	15,538,213	44,005,494	59,948,823
10/28/2022	6,607,731	43,943,577	54,995,855
10/27/2022	6,788,448	45,093,512	53,083,964
10/26/2022	6,339,757	45,308,576	52,718,715
10/25/2022	8,731,345	47,223,939	55,205,229
10/24/2022	15,476,297	47,116,212	53,490,786
10/21/2022	7,757,666	47,761,911	54,129,901
10/20/2022	7,003,512	47,270,749	52,719,379
10/19/2022	8,255,119	47,092,634	54,015,942
10/18/2022	8,623,618	45,135,208	58,778,604
10/17/2022	16,121,995	45,217,537	62,470,805
10/14/2022	6,903,839	43,021,164	63,268,198
10/13/2022	6,825,398	43,286,598	63,646,094
10/12/2022	6,218,793	42,027,339	63,022,126
10/11/2022	8,705,948	43,125,231	65,419,937
10/10/2022	14,288,286	43,529,045	66,215,520
10/07/2022	7,016,273	43,912,794	65,176,474
10/06/2022	5,645,039	44,023,342	61,428,549
10/05/2022	7,316,684	45,407,136	60,553,858
10/04/2022	9,109,762	45,496,700	63,007,876
10/03/2022	14,825,006	44,732,407	64,164,473
09/30/2022	7,126,851	44,750,375	61,801,978
09/29/2022	7,028,833	44,182,759	60,985,884
09/28/2022	7,406,248	45,465,142	60,570,066
09/27/2022	8,124,794	45,744,242	62,342,657
09/26/2022	14,842,973	46,570,364	61,744,912
09/23/2022	6,549,235	47,411,817	60,379,636
09/22/2022	8,311,217	48,216,897	58,668,094
09/21/2022	7,916,023	47,322,472	59,347,083
09/20/2022	8,950,916	47,325,353	62,628,748
09/19/2022	15,684,427	46,120,723	65,770,855
09/16/2022	7,354,314	47,527,096	68,213,311
09/15/2022	7,416,792	47,220,533	68,601,804
09/14/2022	7,918,904	48,746,256	67,379,286
09/13/2022	7,746,286	50,015,007	69,934,528
09/12/2022	17,090,800	58,658,339	70,540,285
09/09/2022	6,511,151	41,030,939	70,233,476
09/08/2022	8,942,515	41,504,386	69,297,947
09/07/2022	9,187,655	40,506,335	69,258,108
09/06/2022	16,389,618	39,151,655	72,126,964
09/02/2022	6,988,998	47,041,426	70,223,381
09/01/2022	7,944,464	46,407,853	70,114,915
08/31/2022	7,828,575	46,123,897	69,638,789
08/30/2022	8,649,299	46,149,593	73,044,307
08/29/2022	15,630,090	44,035,152	74,359,937
08/26/2022	6,355,425	41,888,178	74,276,704
08/25/2022	7,540,508	41,188,594	72,515,211
08/24/2022	7,854,271	40,537,069	72,606,078
08/23/2022	6,478,058	39,405,655	74,246,665
08/22/2022	13,483,114	44,868,017	74,139,188
08/19/2022	6,760,282	48,186,333	72,685,119
08/18/2022	5,669,268	46,238,451	73,256,083
08/17/2022	6,779,658	49,090,755	72,287,712
08/16/2022	11,940,420	48,578,604	71,930,674
08/15/2022	14,890,823	45,173,686	73,267,926
08/12/2022	7,617,150	44,597,699	72,247,253
08/11/2022	7,664,704	43,579,941	69,329,801
08/10/2022	6,267,507	42,345,864	69,683,426
08/09/2022	8,733,502	43,504,981	69,687,454

(Scroll table to see more data)

USDA Prices FOB Texas Crossing

USDA prices from importers at border.

Date	Item Size	High Price	Low Price	Mostly Low
12/08/2022	32s	27.25	23.25	24.25
12/08/2022	36s	27.25	23.25	24.25
12/08/2022	40s	25.25	22.25	24.25
12/08/2022	48s	25.25	22.25	23.25
12/08/2022	60s	22.25	18.25	19.25
12/08/2022	70s	20.25	16.25	17.25
12/08/2022	84s	19.25	16.25	16.25
12/08/2022	48s	36.25	32.25	32.25
12/08/2022	60s	33.25	30.25	30.25
12/08/2022	70s	30.25	25.25	26.25

AMS - Stores promoting Avocados

AMS - Stores Promoting Avocados

Number of stores featuring avocados.

Date	Number of Stores	Weighted Avg Price	Unit	Organic
12/02/2022	9,288	1.04	each	NO
12/02/2022	33	4.49	per pound	NO
12/02/2022	1,888	1.71	each	YES
12/02/2022	64	1.63	each	NO
12/02/2022	31	0.78	per pound	NO

Graphs

Weekly Crossings - Mexico, Peru, California Weekly Mexican Prices and Totals

Weekly Crossings - Mexico, Peru, California

Total volume in truckloads, the same info as table 1 in graph form. If one were to look further backwards, dramatic spikes up and down would be seen. If growers refuse to cut, it pays to be buying on the right side of that event.

Weekly Mexican Prices and Totals

Importers of the Finest Avocados from Mexico

Avocado Intelligence

Tables

Avis Actual & Estimated Volume

Graphs

Weekly Crossings - Mexico, Peru, California